Thursday, March 14, 2019

U.S. Stocks Fluctuate as Dollar Resumes Advance: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks were mixed after a three-day rally, while the dollar surged amid concern a trade deal with China remains elusive. The pound fell as the Brexit saga rumbled on.
The S&P 500 fluctuated between small gains and small losses after a report that a meeting between President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping to sign an agreement ending the trade war is now likely to happen in April at the earliest. The index had jumped 2.5 percent in the prior three days, pushing past the 2,800 level that had capped prior advances. Consumer and material shares were the worst performers Thursday. Tech shares led gains.
“Most analysts believe a China trade deal is fully priced into the markets, which can mean only one thing -- if there’s a wild card lurking, it would be the emergence of a negative surprise,” Greg Valliere, the chief U.S. policy strategist at AGF Investments, wrote in a note. “While we expect a signing ceremony by later in the spring, the idea that a final pact can be completed by the end of this month is optimistic, to say the least.”
The yuan weakened. Treasuries were steady and the dollar gained, holding those moves as data showed U.S. jobless claims rose to a four-week high. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbed, with shares in the U.K. also rising after a night of voting that saw the British government once again defeated in Parliament over Brexit. Equities rose in Hong Kong, while they slid in China after industrial production numbers missed expectations.
Investors have a lot to grapple with just now. U.S. stocks had gained for three straight days this week as economic data came in neither too hot nor too cold, while traders in Europe on Thursday seemed to be shrugging off more warning signs from the region -- perhaps because of hopes Brexit can be delayed or derailed. Figures suggesting China’s slowdown deepened in the first two months of the year added to reasons for caution following this quarter’s rebound in Asian shares.
The pullback in sterling follows a big rally on Wednesday. U.K. lawmakers have rejected the idea of tearing the country out of the EU with no agreement, and Prime Minister Theresa May is said to be planning to seek an extension to the March 29 Brexit deadline lasting about two months.
Elsewhere, gold fell and copper was dragged down by the Chinese data. Emerging-market shares edged lower.
Here are some of the key events coming up:
China’s National People’s Congress is set to wrap up on Friday.Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will speak on Friday, after he and his board conclude their discussions on monetary policy.
And these are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
The S&P 500 was little changed at 2,810 as of 1:18 p.m. in New York.The Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbed 0.8 percent.The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.3 percent.The MSCI Emerging Market Index declined 0.3 percent.
Currencies
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index advanced 0.3 percent, the first gain in a week.The euro declined 0.2 percent to $1.1307, the first retreat in a week.The British pound sank 0.5 percent to $1.3273.The Japanese yen decreased 0.4 percent to 111.63 per dollar.
Bonds
The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose less than one basis point to 2.62 percent.Germany’s 10-year yield gained two basis points to 0.08 percent.Britain’s 10-year yield rose three basis points to 1.22 percent.
Commodities
The Bloomberg Commodity Index fell 0.2 percent.West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.2 percent to $58.37 a barrel.Gold futures slumped 1.1 percent to $1,295.36 an ounce.
--With assistance from Sophie Caronello, Cormac Mullen, Adam Haigh, Eddie van der Walt and Brendan Walsh.
To contact the reporters on this story: Jeremy Herron in New York at jherron8@bloomberg.net;Vildana Hajric in New York at vhajric1@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Samuel Potter at spotter33@bloomberg.net
For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com

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